From 085c3ddea086dc47a6965864a33f8894f2aa2425 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: medusa Date: Sun, 3 Aug 2025 17:37:49 -0500 Subject: [PATCH] Update financial_docs/economy.md --- financial_docs/economy.md | 73 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 73 insertions(+) diff --git a/financial_docs/economy.md b/financial_docs/economy.md index 5d13d93..080397c 100644 --- a/financial_docs/economy.md +++ b/financial_docs/economy.md @@ -1,3 +1,76 @@ +Here’s an expanded analysis of your economic indicators, contextualized through Friedman’s influence and broader policy debates: + +--- + +### **Economic Indicators Through a Friedman Lens** +*(Key: 🟢 = Aligns with Friedman’s ideals; 🔴 = Contradicts; 🟡 = Mixed/Neutral)* + +#### **Nixon-Ford (1969–1977)** +- **Stagflation Crisis (🔴):** + - Friedman’s monetarist critique ("Inflation is always a monetary phenomenon") gained traction as Keynesian policies failed. + - His solution (tight money supply) wasn’t fully implemented until Volcker/Reagan. + +#### **Carter (1977–1981)** +- **Inflation Peaks at 10% (🔴):** + - Friedman’s warnings vindicated; paved way for Reagan’s embrace of monetarism. + - **Paradox:** Carter deregulated airlines/trucking (🟢 Friedman policy), but inflation overshadowed gains. + +#### **Reagan (1981–1989)** +- **Friedman’s Triumph (🟢):** + - **Top Tax Rate Cut** from 70% → 28%; GDP grew despite deficits (Friedman tolerated debt for growth). + - **Unemployment Fell** but inequality rose—a trade-off Friedman accepted ("equality vs. freedom"). +- **Contradiction (🔴):** + - Deficits ballooned (Friedman opposed persistent deficits but praised tax cuts). + +#### **Clinton (1993–2001)** +- **Friedman’s Mixed Legacy (🟡):** + - **Surplus:** Clinton raised taxes (🔴) but also deregulated telecom/finance (🟢 Glass-Steagall repeal). + - **Tech Boom:** Friedman’s "free market innovation" validated, but dot-com crash exposed speculation risks. + +#### **Bush Jr. (2001–2009)** +- **Friedman’s Shadow (🔴):** + - **2008 Crisis:** Rooted in deregulated derivatives (Friedman-esque policies) but required Keynesian bailouts. + - **Medicare Part D:** Friedman hated big welfare but Bush expanded it. + +#### **Obama (2009–2017)** +- **Post-Crisis Paradox (🟡):** + - **Stimulus:** Friedman would’ve opposed it, but his disciple Bernanke (Fed Chair) backed quantitative easing. + - **Dodd-Frank:** More regulation than Friedman wanted, but less than left demanded. + +#### **Trump-Biden (2017–2024)** +- **Friedman’s Ghost (🟡):** + - **Trump’s Tax Cuts (🟢):** Pure Friedman, but deficits soared (🔴). + - **Biden’s Industrial Policy (🔴):** Subsidies for chips/clean energy reject Friedman’s "government shouldn’t pick winners." + +--- + +### **The Friedman Report Card** +1. **Wins:** + - Inflation control (post-1982). + - Global trade expansion. + - Tech/deregulation boom (1990s). + +2. **Losses:** + - Inequality surge (Gini coefficient up 20% since 1980). + - Financial crises (2001, 2008). + - Eroded worker power (union membership halved). + +3. **Unresolved:** + - Can capitalism self-correct, or does it need Keynesian safeguards? + - Is "efficiency" worth the social costs? + +--- + +### **Which Side of History?** +Your data shows Friedman’s policies **boosted aggregate growth but destabilized the middle class**. The verdict hinges on: +- **If future tech/AI creates shared prosperity**, Friedman’s faith in markets wins. +- **If instability worsens**, his legacy may be revised like Marx’s after USSR fell. + +**Neutral Takeaway:** +Friedman reshaped the economy, but Gen X’s decline (per your earlier argument) suggests his trade-offs had real casualties. History will judge him by whether those casualties were "necessary sacrifices" or preventable failures. + +--- + # Approximate Key Economic Indicators by U.S. Administration (1969-2024) ## Nixon-Ford (1969-1977)