From 93acda3afd5772004b7b108477b809fe1d8d9282 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: medusa Date: Sat, 18 Nov 2023 12:59:57 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] Add docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md --- docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md | 100 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 100 insertions(+) create mode 100644 docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md diff --git a/docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md b/docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..9c2925b --- /dev/null +++ b/docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md @@ -0,0 +1,100 @@ +# Millions & Billions +## OpenAI Tesla and IBM + +### News + +#### IBM invests in Huggingface +- Arvind Krishna CEO of IBM +- Froze thousands of jobs earlier this year +- 3900 layoffs planned +- 7800 positions frozen +- Says AI could take over 30% to 50% of repetitive tasks (and do them better than humans) +- $235M Series D Funding Round +- Hugging Face now worth $4.5B +- They have collaborated on WatsonX +- Doubling down on AI + +#### Tesla Giga Computer +- Turned on HPC cluster worth $300M +- Powered by 10000 Nvidia H100 compute GPUs +- Primarily for FSD and other HPC workloads +- Elon has said they will invest $4B in more AI +- Plan is to invest over the next 2 years +- Investing another $1B into Dojo supercomputer +- Doubling down on AI + +#### OpenAI Revenue Explodes +- On track to generate more than $1B in revenue +- Up from $28M in revenue last year +- >35x in revenue growth +- ChatGPT costs $700k per day (estimated) +- Not sure if they are cash positive +- Microsoft entitled to 75% of revenue +- Could take a decade to pay it off +- That timeframe may shorten quite a lot +- Looks like their investment paid off! + +### Analysis + +#### AI Investment Growth +- Global AI Investment +- 2020: $30B +- 2021: $66.8B +- 2022: $92B +- 2023: ??? +- 2025: $200B (Goldman Sachs forecast) +- Current opinions mixed +- Some signs of investment slowing or accelerating +- But we’re only in September +- Consensus seems to be things are chugging along more or less as expected + +#### Tech Layoffs New Jobs +- 150000+ US tech layoffs as of June +- Total unemployment remains at 3.5% +- Government source (MLS) +- About 375k open jobs as of January +- Forecasts said 272k new tech jobs in 2023 +- Remains to be seen… (not a government source) +- AI expected to destroy 85M jobs by 2025 +- But create up to 97M jobs +- Net gain of 12M +- Not a government source so take it with a grain of salt +- That’s a LOT of reskilling! +- Generative AI job postings up 20% in May +- Maybe it’s a wash? So far so good. +- Just make sure you’re up to date on Generative AI tools + +#### Public Sentiment +- Reuters/Ipsos poll: 61% of Americans view AI as a potential threat to human civilization +- Pew Research poll: 58% of Americans more concerned than excited about the rise of AI +- Economist/YouGov poll: ~75% of Americans believe AI should be regulated by government +- 79% Democrat +- 73% Republican + +### Conclusion + +#### Predictions +- AI investment may cool slightly +- OpenAI lawsuits seem to have spooked the markets +- Still turning red hot fast +- This will be brief if at all +- Americans are largely united on regulations fears +- Regulatory capture still a primary concern +- Rarely see this much consensus! +- State of jobs right now seems good +- Post-Labor Economics will have to wait (and UBI) +- Keep your eyes open though we’re in for an interesting future +- Many industries are being disrupted (tech marketing translation copywriting etc) + +### Takeaways +- Skill up! +- Learn to use AI tools +- Learn the basics of AI +- Job market transformation is actively happening +- I’m happy to do remote training groups ping me +- Might do paywalled training not sure +- Reminds me of early 2000’s with the rise of Microsoft and developer and IT certifications +- Voter solidarity +- Americans are rarely this united on something +- Don’t count the chickens yet +- CONSTANT VIGILANCE!