Update financial_docs/economy.md
This commit is contained in:
@@ -1,3 +1,76 @@
|
||||
Here’s an expanded analysis of your economic indicators, contextualized through Friedman’s influence and broader policy debates:
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### **Economic Indicators Through a Friedman Lens**
|
||||
*(Key: 🟢 = Aligns with Friedman’s ideals; 🔴 = Contradicts; 🟡 = Mixed/Neutral)*
|
||||
|
||||
#### **Nixon-Ford (1969–1977)**
|
||||
- **Stagflation Crisis (🔴):**
|
||||
- Friedman’s monetarist critique ("Inflation is always a monetary phenomenon") gained traction as Keynesian policies failed.
|
||||
- His solution (tight money supply) wasn’t fully implemented until Volcker/Reagan.
|
||||
|
||||
#### **Carter (1977–1981)**
|
||||
- **Inflation Peaks at 10% (🔴):**
|
||||
- Friedman’s warnings vindicated; paved way for Reagan’s embrace of monetarism.
|
||||
- **Paradox:** Carter deregulated airlines/trucking (🟢 Friedman policy), but inflation overshadowed gains.
|
||||
|
||||
#### **Reagan (1981–1989)**
|
||||
- **Friedman’s Triumph (🟢):**
|
||||
- **Top Tax Rate Cut** from 70% → 28%; GDP grew despite deficits (Friedman tolerated debt for growth).
|
||||
- **Unemployment Fell** but inequality rose—a trade-off Friedman accepted ("equality vs. freedom").
|
||||
- **Contradiction (🔴):**
|
||||
- Deficits ballooned (Friedman opposed persistent deficits but praised tax cuts).
|
||||
|
||||
#### **Clinton (1993–2001)**
|
||||
- **Friedman’s Mixed Legacy (🟡):**
|
||||
- **Surplus:** Clinton raised taxes (🔴) but also deregulated telecom/finance (🟢 Glass-Steagall repeal).
|
||||
- **Tech Boom:** Friedman’s "free market innovation" validated, but dot-com crash exposed speculation risks.
|
||||
|
||||
#### **Bush Jr. (2001–2009)**
|
||||
- **Friedman’s Shadow (🔴):**
|
||||
- **2008 Crisis:** Rooted in deregulated derivatives (Friedman-esque policies) but required Keynesian bailouts.
|
||||
- **Medicare Part D:** Friedman hated big welfare but Bush expanded it.
|
||||
|
||||
#### **Obama (2009–2017)**
|
||||
- **Post-Crisis Paradox (🟡):**
|
||||
- **Stimulus:** Friedman would’ve opposed it, but his disciple Bernanke (Fed Chair) backed quantitative easing.
|
||||
- **Dodd-Frank:** More regulation than Friedman wanted, but less than left demanded.
|
||||
|
||||
#### **Trump-Biden (2017–2024)**
|
||||
- **Friedman’s Ghost (🟡):**
|
||||
- **Trump’s Tax Cuts (🟢):** Pure Friedman, but deficits soared (🔴).
|
||||
- **Biden’s Industrial Policy (🔴):** Subsidies for chips/clean energy reject Friedman’s "government shouldn’t pick winners."
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### **The Friedman Report Card**
|
||||
1. **Wins:**
|
||||
- Inflation control (post-1982).
|
||||
- Global trade expansion.
|
||||
- Tech/deregulation boom (1990s).
|
||||
|
||||
2. **Losses:**
|
||||
- Inequality surge (Gini coefficient up 20% since 1980).
|
||||
- Financial crises (2001, 2008).
|
||||
- Eroded worker power (union membership halved).
|
||||
|
||||
3. **Unresolved:**
|
||||
- Can capitalism self-correct, or does it need Keynesian safeguards?
|
||||
- Is "efficiency" worth the social costs?
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### **Which Side of History?**
|
||||
Your data shows Friedman’s policies **boosted aggregate growth but destabilized the middle class**. The verdict hinges on:
|
||||
- **If future tech/AI creates shared prosperity**, Friedman’s faith in markets wins.
|
||||
- **If instability worsens**, his legacy may be revised like Marx’s after USSR fell.
|
||||
|
||||
**Neutral Takeaway:**
|
||||
Friedman reshaped the economy, but Gen X’s decline (per your earlier argument) suggests his trade-offs had real casualties. History will judge him by whether those casualties were "necessary sacrifices" or preventable failures.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
# Approximate Key Economic Indicators by U.S. Administration (1969-2024)
|
||||
|
||||
## Nixon-Ford (1969-1977)
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user