484 lines
18 KiB
Markdown
484 lines
18 KiB
Markdown
I spent years going in circles trying to
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become a profitable Trader but when I
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threw everything out the window and
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traded one simple strategy my trading
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turned from losing me money to actually
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making me money this is the biggest
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Pitfall that everyone falls into when
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they come to trading is thinking that
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you can Master multiple strategies and
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patterns and become profitable with them
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all but in reality this is probably
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what's holding you back from becoming a
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profitable Trader so let me try and fix
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that for you and save you from the
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headache of wasting potential years and
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walk you through the strategy that I
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spend years waking and trying to figure
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out so you can try and become profitable
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faster than it took me so a quick
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overview of the strategy is I have found
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it way more profitable to just focus on
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key areas of support and resistance in
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the market just focusing on those cuts
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out a ton of the noise and back and
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forth that the market does and it allows
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you to focus on high areas of
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probability where the market is likely
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to reverse and at those areas you can
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get a high risk reward rate you and so
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what that means is if you risk a hundred
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dollars you can make three or four
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hundred dollars and why this is
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important for trading is because you're
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not going to win every time that's just
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a part of the game and when you have a
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risk reward like that you can have
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something like a 50 wound rate you're
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only right half the time but you're
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still profitable over the long run and
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that's what's important when it comes to
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trading and so that's what I found super
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powerful about just focusing on key
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areas in the market because that
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increases the likelihood that it
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reverses but it also increases the
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likelihood of how large that potential
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reversal is and so I focus trading the
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es Futures on a one minute chart that's
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what we're looking at right here and
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what I found future so powerful for is
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they allow you to day trade while
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avoiding the pattern day trading rule
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you do not need 25
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000 in your account to execute day
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trades consistently the rule is with
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Futures you don't have to abide by that
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they're a little different but the main
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thing is you can skip the pattern day
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trading rule which is very important
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when you're trying to day trade actually
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on a one minute chart and so how I like
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to find these levels is I actually like
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to use a larger time frame so if we go
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over and look at a 15 minute chart I
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like to essentially look at where the
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market has made a clear double bottom
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and then when the market comes back and
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touches that level that's when I like to
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look for a potential bounce because if
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you use a larger time frame those
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signals are going to be stronger and so
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it increases the likelihood that you're
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gonna find a stronger support level in
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that area and when it comes to looking
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for a bounce because you're on a smaller
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time frame this bounce right here looks
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pretty small on a 15 minute chart but on
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a one minute chart which is what I like
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to enter in on it can be a very large
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trade and definitely a big enough trade
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to make a nice profit off of and so once
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you have created that level you just sit
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and wait for the mark to come to you
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that is a big key when it comes to
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trading is you want to have your levels
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already in place when it comes to
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looking for trades you want to be
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planning out what you're doing you don't
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want to be reactive based if you're just
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reacting to moves in the market as they
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happen you're more likely to be trading
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on emotions and not have a structured
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plan in place having a structured plan
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in place is extremely important when it
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comes to your trading and another way I
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like to draw levels is you can just draw
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them off of a one minute chart as well
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is the market has clearly made multiple
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Bottoms in this area so I like to draw a
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support Zone off of that and so when the
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market then comes back and touches that
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zone right here I'm gonna look for a
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potential reversal off of that betting
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that the Market's going to go higher off
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of that now the biggest mistake you can
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make is just buying when it gets to
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these support levels randomly you don't
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know if they're gonna hold and so I
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found three key steps to follow when
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you're looking for these reversals off
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of these levels because if you just
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randomly buy when the market comes down
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to these levels we don't know anything
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that's going to happen in the market
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when it comes to trading but it's nice
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to try and increase your chances as much
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as possible and so the first thing to
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keep in mind is you want to make sure
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that the downtrend into your support
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level is broken because if the Market's
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just trending down in a clear downtrend
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and you have some kind of really nice
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downtrend in place and it's just
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respecting that well if the markets come
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to your level down here and you just get
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in down here with the buy well the
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market could just keep going down here
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and break that level you want to wait
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for the market to show a clear break of
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this downtrend and switch that Trend
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that's going to save you a lot of
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hardship when trying to counter Trend
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trade is you have to wait for that
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downtrend to break in some ways before
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there's a likelihood of the market to
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actually reverse and so that's the first
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big key thing is I like to see the most
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recent Trend broken and so if we're
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looking for a reversal off of this area
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right here you know we have our support
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level that's the burst key that we even
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want to be looking out for but then we
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want to make sure that the downtrend is
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broken so to analyze this trend right
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here the Market's made two pretty big
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swings right here and those those are a
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little too big to be drawing a trend
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line off of because we're on a one
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minute chart there are some smaller
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Trends here in place you could say
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there's a downtrend right here and it's
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broken and then there's also a really
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tight downtrend right here as well I
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like to generally go off a couple swings
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in the market or if the market makes a
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really fast move like this where the
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bars are just really one directional
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then I just draw a really tight trend
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line based on that and assume when
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that's broken that that really tight
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downtrend is broken now a quick side
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note my bearish bars are blue here and
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my bullish bars are white the reason why
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I do this is that purely for emotional
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reasons if you think about it red and
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green are extremely emotional triggering
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colors when it comes to trading you want
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to try and keep things as neutral as
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possible so these are very Zen colors
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and so they don't trigger me as much
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when it comes to trading seeing you know
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a trade go against me seeing a bunch of
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red bars that really adds up to
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affecting you when it comes to trading
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but so with this trade right here is
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looking for a bounce off of this Zone I
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would consider right here this as a
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break of that downtrend now over my time
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analyzing the market I've realized that
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when the market breaks a downtrend that
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doesn't necessarily mean it's going to
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quickly reverse off of that area now of
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course that can happen but in terms of
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being consistently profitable I have
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found that it's better to wait for the
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market to come down break that downtrend
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and then make a pullback and then this
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is where you make that decision to get
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in because there's a couple things that
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can happen in this pullback right here
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is one the market can actually continue
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lower because then this could just be a
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pullback in the downtrend where it
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continues lower or it can then start to
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shift higher essentially what this
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pullback here is is it's an inflection
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point in the market it's either the
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market attempting to break lower and
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continue that downtrend and that's
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attempt failing which is a really good
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signal if you're you're looking for the
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market to go long and go up higher or it
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just continues lower and it confirms
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that hey the trend's still going down
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and it's not time to get in yet and you
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avoid that trade and just move on to the
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next trade and you don't take a loss
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which is really important when it comes
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to trading is it's not about taking a
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ton and ton of Trades the same reason
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why this strategy works so well is
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you're just focusing on just a few key
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areas in the market and if you can just
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take a couple of really good high
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probability trades a couple times a week
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it's going to be way more beneficial
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than trying to take 10 or 20 trades in a
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day and so once that pullback happens
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what I want to see is a really strong
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Candlestick that reverses in the
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direction I want and so because we're
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looking for a long trade here I want a
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really bullish candle and so on my chart
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those are white and this candle right
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here is very very bullish you can see it
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Market opens here essentially breathing
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into the Candlestick The Market opens
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here pushes lower and then Rockets
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higher and it does have a little back
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here and so that's pretty much exactly
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what this Candlestick says but what it's
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telling us is it's come back to this
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area where the market previously
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bottomed and buyers came in and really
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wanted that area and so once I see that
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I like to get in either at the close or
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break of the high here and bet the
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Market's going to go higher and then I
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like to put my stop below this swing low
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because what that does is if the
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Market's going to decide to go up here
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and keep going up great my Stop's not
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going to get hit but if the trends going
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to actually keep going lower well I want
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to get out as soon as possible right
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there's no reason to risk more money or
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give it more wiggle room because in my
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eyes this pullback here should hold if
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it's going to actually reverse and then
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from there I like to manage the trade
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which we'll get into with a live example
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in a second and in this case one key
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thing that happened is there was a nice
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little up channel here you gotta hold
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through the chop in the market sometimes
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the market right here really took a
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while to get going and that's just a
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part of trading right it's not gonna
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just be a extremely fast reversal in
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your favor right away but you know once
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it gets going it can go quickly and
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that's when you want to potentially get
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out right in terms of getting out of a
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trade you want to be looking at where
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the highs are there's a there's
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definitely a resistance level up here
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the markets kind of come up here
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multiple times and reversed and so
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seeing the market rocket up into this
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when you're in a trade you definitely
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want to be getting out once you kind of
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get up to those highs because the easy
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money's done it's potential to have a
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lot larger of a pullback you can see the
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market did kind of get going up here and
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make one more push higher but it did
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eventually kind of sideways and holding
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through this kind of pullback is really
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hard and you don't know when that's
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going to happen you don't know if it's
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going to happen right here or right here
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so let me walk you through a real
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example of this strategy in practice and
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so first off what we want to be doing is
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looking for our support level so just to
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show you on a 15 minute chart where I
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found that is looking at currently you
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can see the market made a nice bottom
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here kind of moved along and it made a
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pretty good bottom here as well and so
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my thinking was okay I want to draw a
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support Zone off of this level I like to
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use zones because the market can really
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come and touch the area anywhere it's
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unlikely that it's gonna Just Bounce
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perfectly off of the level and so you
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want to use a Zone and so that support
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zone is right here and so what I looked
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for is hey when the market comes up
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pulls back into that level that's when I
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want to get in betting that hey I like
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this area for a potential buy and I
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think the Market's going to go up and so
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that's what I looked for let me just
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walk you through that a little bit let's
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just zoom back in this recording and so
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the setup for getting to this is just
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that simple checklist having a support
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Zone looking for a downtrend to be
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broken we kind of had a really quick
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downtrend like in our previous example
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here and then looking for a Candlestick
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pattern so the market essentially made
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some pretty bullish reversal
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candlesticks here and that's when I
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wanted to get in and so I put my stop
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right below that swing because the idea
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is hey if it pulls back here and breaks
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this area it's probably just going to
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keep going lower and I'm wrong and
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that's okay I just want to get out at
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that point and move on to the next trade
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but if I'm right and the Market's gonna
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reverse here I think down here is a
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great spot for my risk and then we can
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see what the market can do with that and
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so just to quickly kind of Zoom forwards
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this a little bit I like to have it
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pretty fluid management style and so
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once the market kind of breaks up here I
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move my stop to break even because I
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like to take some risk off the table
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there is kind of a downtrend line right
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here and if the market decides to you
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know sell off of that well I want to get
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out right I I would rather get out at
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break even versus trying to hold on to
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it that's a really big mistake is trying
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to give your trade too much wiggle room
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it's good to give your trade some room
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because the market does ebb and flow it
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has ups and downs even in an uptrend and
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so you have to be able to give it a
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certain amount of room and that's hard
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to know that definitely takes practice
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but what I found is once it makes a good
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break in your favor go up to break even
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but just like when it comes to entering
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in your trade and analyzing the trend
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you want to be analyzing the trend when
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you're in a trade as well and so if the
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market comes up to this level I want to
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jump out and I want to be able to try
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and read into things and know when it's
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good to get out of the trade really the
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most important part is getting into a
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trade and so if having a more fluid
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management style is too complicated at
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the start that's totally understandable
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just have a simple risk reward ratio of
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trying to go for two times or three
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times a risk and then get out once it
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hits there I don't really have a profit
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Target I just have one just because my
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system puts one in but I mainly just get
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out with my stop loss and so a big thing
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here too is we're kind of Awards this
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resistance level up here now a big key
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is this is kind of a minor resistance
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level and so I want to get out if it
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sells off of that level here and so you
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can see I move my stop up again below
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this kind of little micro pullback we
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had here the thought process is hey we
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have a really nice bullish move here
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it's broken my little trend line I have
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drawn right here if it pulls back and
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keeps going up that's totally fine I'll
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stay in the trade but we do have this
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little micro resistance I have to
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respect that and there's no reason to
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get greedy betting that the Market's
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gonna push all the way up to the larger
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15 minute resistant right away and so
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the market kind of just plays out
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flagging out at this level and so that
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can be really hard to hold through
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learning to pull through trades when
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it's just kind of sitting there is a
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skill I often like to actually just go
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and walk around and and vacuum or
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something you know try and essentially
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keep myself busy of course I'll look at
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the charts but if your stop loss is in a
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solid spot and you could say your profit
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Target is in a solid spot too that's
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totally okay you know I have this up
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here because it's like if the market all
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of a sudden smashes higher and hits me
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well I'm okay getting out you know
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that's still three or four times my risk
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I'm not gonna complain right it's better
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than you having no profit Target the
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mark comes up here and then reverses all
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the way down here and you missed it
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because you were you know not paying
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attention and so it's definitely a fine
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line in doing that and so just seeing
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the market puts along here I was just
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moving my stop loss up with these little
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pullbacks with the idea that hey this is
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a pretty good breakout here I want to
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you know move my stop-loss up and
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capture that little bit more of profit
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and now one thing I'm starting to see
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here as I'm analyzing this is this is
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pretty much a bull flag in terms of a
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pattern and that's just a continuation
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pattern so the thought is as soon as it
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breaks this bull flag that it's going to
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make another push higher like this the
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market likes to move in pushes of two I
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mean a good example is here it made one
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push down two pushes down and then
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reverse so my thought is okay I've
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caught the reversal on the other side
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and it might make two pushes like this
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and so here you can see it starts to do
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that it makes a pretty bearish candle
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there and I move my stop up again below
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that candle with idea that that's
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another little micro pullback and once
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the trade gets up to above three times
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my risk I like to be be really tight
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with how I managed to trade just because
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it's great trying to capture really big
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trade like this but on average I have
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found that when I get up to about three
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times my risk which is up here it's more
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likely to have a pullback that is not
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going to be worth it holding through you
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know sometimes yes you can have a larger
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pullback and it keeps going higher but
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you know it's a fine line if you give
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the trade too much wiggle room it's more
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likely that on average you're just gonna
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be giving a lot more back it's better to
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take the easy money and run essentially
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because you know that's just how trading
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goes and so the market makes a really
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big climactic handle here I like to call
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it when the market makes a really big
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Candlestick at the end of a trend like
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this especially close to the resistance
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level of the highs it's more likely that
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it has a deeper pullback because think
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of it like the market has energy right
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it's taken a lot of energy to make these
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two moves and it's gonna need
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essentially to take a and so when it has
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a very large move like this at the end
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of already using all of this energy in
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One Direction it's gonna need to recover
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and so that increases the likelihood of
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a larger pullback and so there you can
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see I pretty much got out right as I saw
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it start to look like it was losing
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momentum and the market did have a
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little bit larger of a pullback here and
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so I was able to get out with a really
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nice profit there so if you want to
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learn more about this strategy check out
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the link I have in the description below
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it is a class that goes way more in
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depth into this it's free and it will
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walk you through everything you need to
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know about this strategy and if you want
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a video that dives more into entries and
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exits of these trades check out this
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video right here
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now a quick side note my bearish bars
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here are blue and my up bars
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bars what is the upper bar
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