Add docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md
This commit is contained in:
100
docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md
Normal file
100
docs/llm/llm_enterprise.md
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,100 @@
|
||||
# Millions & Billions
|
||||
## OpenAI Tesla and IBM
|
||||
|
||||
### News
|
||||
|
||||
#### IBM invests in Huggingface
|
||||
- Arvind Krishna CEO of IBM
|
||||
- Froze thousands of jobs earlier this year
|
||||
- 3900 layoffs planned
|
||||
- 7800 positions frozen
|
||||
- Says AI could take over 30% to 50% of repetitive tasks (and do them better than humans)
|
||||
- $235M Series D Funding Round
|
||||
- Hugging Face now worth $4.5B
|
||||
- They have collaborated on WatsonX
|
||||
- Doubling down on AI
|
||||
|
||||
#### Tesla Giga Computer
|
||||
- Turned on HPC cluster worth $300M
|
||||
- Powered by 10000 Nvidia H100 compute GPUs
|
||||
- Primarily for FSD and other HPC workloads
|
||||
- Elon has said they will invest $4B in more AI
|
||||
- Plan is to invest over the next 2 years
|
||||
- Investing another $1B into Dojo supercomputer
|
||||
- Doubling down on AI
|
||||
|
||||
#### OpenAI Revenue Explodes
|
||||
- On track to generate more than $1B in revenue
|
||||
- Up from $28M in revenue last year
|
||||
- >35x in revenue growth
|
||||
- ChatGPT costs $700k per day (estimated)
|
||||
- Not sure if they are cash positive
|
||||
- Microsoft entitled to 75% of revenue
|
||||
- Could take a decade to pay it off
|
||||
- That timeframe may shorten quite a lot
|
||||
- Looks like their investment paid off!
|
||||
|
||||
### Analysis
|
||||
|
||||
#### AI Investment Growth
|
||||
- Global AI Investment
|
||||
- 2020: $30B
|
||||
- 2021: $66.8B
|
||||
- 2022: $92B
|
||||
- 2023: ???
|
||||
- 2025: $200B (Goldman Sachs forecast)
|
||||
- Current opinions mixed
|
||||
- Some signs of investment slowing or accelerating
|
||||
- But we’re only in September
|
||||
- Consensus seems to be things are chugging along more or less as expected
|
||||
|
||||
#### Tech Layoffs New Jobs
|
||||
- 150000+ US tech layoffs as of June
|
||||
- Total unemployment remains at 3.5%
|
||||
- Government source (MLS)
|
||||
- About 375k open jobs as of January
|
||||
- Forecasts said 272k new tech jobs in 2023
|
||||
- Remains to be seen… (not a government source)
|
||||
- AI expected to destroy 85M jobs by 2025
|
||||
- But create up to 97M jobs
|
||||
- Net gain of 12M
|
||||
- Not a government source so take it with a grain of salt
|
||||
- That’s a LOT of reskilling!
|
||||
- Generative AI job postings up 20% in May
|
||||
- Maybe it’s a wash? So far so good.
|
||||
- Just make sure you’re up to date on Generative AI tools
|
||||
|
||||
#### Public Sentiment
|
||||
- Reuters/Ipsos poll: 61% of Americans view AI as a potential threat to human civilization
|
||||
- Pew Research poll: 58% of Americans more concerned than excited about the rise of AI
|
||||
- Economist/YouGov poll: ~75% of Americans believe AI should be regulated by government
|
||||
- 79% Democrat
|
||||
- 73% Republican
|
||||
|
||||
### Conclusion
|
||||
|
||||
#### Predictions
|
||||
- AI investment may cool slightly
|
||||
- OpenAI lawsuits seem to have spooked the markets
|
||||
- Still turning red hot fast
|
||||
- This will be brief if at all
|
||||
- Americans are largely united on regulations fears
|
||||
- Regulatory capture still a primary concern
|
||||
- Rarely see this much consensus!
|
||||
- State of jobs right now seems good
|
||||
- Post-Labor Economics will have to wait (and UBI)
|
||||
- Keep your eyes open though we’re in for an interesting future
|
||||
- Many industries are being disrupted (tech marketing translation copywriting etc)
|
||||
|
||||
### Takeaways
|
||||
- Skill up!
|
||||
- Learn to use AI tools
|
||||
- Learn the basics of AI
|
||||
- Job market transformation is actively happening
|
||||
- I’m happy to do remote training groups ping me
|
||||
- Might do paywalled training not sure
|
||||
- Reminds me of early 2000’s with the rise of Microsoft and developer and IT certifications
|
||||
- Voter solidarity
|
||||
- Americans are rarely this united on something
|
||||
- Don’t count the chickens yet
|
||||
- CONSTANT VIGILANCE!
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user